Simple Asset Allocation Timing
In
A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation
Mebane Faber presents a simple market timing system that
compares the current price of a security to its 200-Day Simple Moving Average.
When the price is above the 200-Day moving average,
you buy the security, when it is below, you sell.
The table below, shows the current prices versus the the 200-SMA.
Asset | Current Price1 | 200-Day SMA |
S&P 500 | 3857.54 | 4373.53 |
US Gov Bond | 102.103 | 109.471 |
US Real Estate | 86.03 | 86.03 |
Foreign Stocks | 49.1967 | 57.9118 |
GS Commodities Index | 22.37 | 20.5983 |
Notes:- Current Price is actually the 3-day SMA.
- Prices calculated from market close on Tuesday, July 12, 2022.